September 2007 - Volume 22





Mortgage / Real Estate Update Report

Mortgage fixed-rates are down

By Jim Woodard

            Interest rates on long-term mortgages with fixed rates are edging downward as we move into September.  At the same time, adjustable-rate mortgages are increasing their rates.  This opens the door of opportunity a bit wider for today’s homebuyers.

            “Interest rates on conforming long-term fixed-rate mortgages are declining slightly, while rates on one-year adjustable-rate mortgages are increasing,” said Frank Nothaft, chief economist for Freddie Mac, a major government-sponsored buyer of existing home mortgages.  “The increase in ARM rates is consistent with movement of the yield on short-term Treasury securities that have exhibited higher volatility recently due to market uncertainties.”

            Even though the number of home sales is down, there are strong advantages for purchasing a home today.  Inventories are large, offering the buyer a wide variety of available homes – sellers are highly motivated to negotiate a favorable price and terms – and mortgage interest rates remain at very low levels.

            It should be noted that most mortgage borrowers have no problem in keeping their payments current.  Most of the problems arise from risky subprime loans and borrowers mortgaging homes that are not their personal residence.  Mortgages on non-owner occupied homes accounts for about 13 percent of all prime defaults and 11 percent of subprime defaults nationwide, according to a report from Mortgage Bankers Association.



Federal aid for mortgage borrowers

 

            On August 31, the president announced new initiatives to help troubled borrowers with high-risk mortgages.  A key element is to allow homeowners with a good credit history, but who cannot afford their mortgage payments, to refinance into mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) to keep from defaulting.

 

            “The markets are in a period of transition as participants reassess and reprice risk,” the president said.  “This process has been unfolding for some time and it’s going to take more time to fully play out.  America’s overall economy will remain strong enough to weather any turbulence.”

            
     
Real estate and mortgage groups are obviously delighted with the announcement.  John Robbins, chairman of the Mortgage Bankers Association, made this comment after hearing the president’s announcement:  “The president’s attention to turmoil in the mortgage markets and the plight of homeowners facing foreclosure will encourage Congress to take the needed steps to reform FHA and help borrowers who face difficulties making their mortgage payments.”



Strategies for obtaining the right mortgage

 

What’s the most effective way to obtain the best possible home mortgage in today’s tight market?  That’s the question asked by many home buyers, and owners wanting to refinance their existing mortgage.

 

When Borrowers apply for an adjustable-rate mortgage today, lenders approve or reject them based on the fully indexed interest rate and higher monthly payment, not a short-term low rate and low initial monthly payment, it was noted in a special report carried in the September issue of Kiplinger’s Personal Finance magazine.

 

Many first-time buyers look for 100 percent financing.  That often involves expensive private mortgage insurance (PMI) or “piggyback” loans – two loans issued simultaneously.  The cost of PMI largely depends on the borrower’s credit score.  Many options disappear when scores are lower than 700, according to the report.  With the score is 620 or lower, the buyer would probably not be able to obtain 100 percent financing.

 

In most cases, it’s much better to make a down payment when purchasing a home – at least 5 percent down.  Most lenders also want borrowers to have funds available for at least two months of principal, interest, taxes and insurance in reserve.  Paying off as much debt as possible before applying for a mortgage is important, but a higher priority should be placed on improving your credit score.  The two top considerations by lenders is the borrower’s credit score and down payment.  However, overall debt is important.  The standard debt-to-income ratio used by lenders is 28-36.  Under that guideline, your monthly mortgage payment can’t exceed 28 percent of your monthly household income, and your total debt payments may not exceed 36 percent.

 

The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is typically 1.5 percentage points lower for a borrower with a credit score of 760 to 850 than for someone with a score of 620 to 639, Kiplinger’s report pointed out.  Before you apply for a mortgage, request your report, correct any errors, and take action such as paying down debt to improve your score.  You’re entitled to one free credit report a year from each of the three major credit-reporting agencies.  To obtain your free report, go to: www.annualcreditreport.com/.



Mortgage tax deductions at risk

An ominous plan is being proposed in Congress – to eliminate mortgage-interest tax deductions for all houses larger than 3,000 square feet.  The proposal, part of a bill drafted by Rep. John Dingell, chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, will introduce a “comprehensive climate change reform legislation,” it was announced.  It includes this deduction-limiting provision.

 

“Such a law is essential to reduce carbon emissions by 60 to 80 percent by the year 2050,” he said.  “In order to address the issue of climate change, we must address the issue of consumption.  We do that by making consumption more expensive.”  He noted that houses have long been known to contribute to greenhouse gas emissions through heating, cooling, electrical usage and building materials.  However, most home builders report they have followed “green” procedures in recent years.  Houses constructed within the past few years are the tightest, energy-efficient in history.

 

Lawrence Yun, senior economist for the National Association of Realtors, pointed out that terminating mortgage-interest tax deductions for all single-family homes larger than 3,000 square feet would result in a national median house price decline of about 4 percent on all homes, not just large houses.  There are at least 10.4 million single-family homes that contain 3,000 square feet of living area or more.  They make up about 15 percent of the nation’s owner-occupied housing stock.



Hispanic population growing

The Hispanic population is growing, along with the number of Hispanic home buyers and mortgage applicants.  Nearly one in every ten of the nation’s counties now have a population that is more than 50 percent minorities, according to a recent report from the U.S. Census Bureau.  Growing minority populations are particularly strong in suburban and rural areas, and is fueled primarily by the growth in the Hispanic population.

 

Cities are still the major target area for minorities.  Los Angeles County had the country’s largest minority population, where seven million (or 71 percent of the population) are minorities.  However, locales with the highest percentage of minority population growth are on the East coast and in the South.

 

“One could describe it as the `Hispanization’ of the United States,” said former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Henry Cisneros, who has studied Hispanic demographics and homebuying trends in depth.  This is a very important population,” he said.  “It’s very entrepreneurial, capable of saving money and is the fastest growing segment of middle class.  That will add to the capacity to buy homes.  Add to that the subjective element.  This is a population that is very family oriented.  Homeownership is their vision of the American dream.”



New development for TIC investments

There may soon be a jump in the popularity of Tenant-in-Common (TIC) investments in real property.  TIC investments are arrangements whereby two or more owners of a property have an equal or unequal interest.  Each owner has full and simultaneous rights to the same property, regardless of the amount of interest owned.  These investments are particularly attractive to owners of commercial properties who want to sell and avoid paying immediate capital gains tax.  They can do so by executing a 1031 Exchange into a TIC – approved by the Internal Revenue Service.

 

The new development is a proposed arrangement whereby real estate brokers and their agents can earn fees for referring clients to TICs.  This is currently not permitted.  If finalized, it could focus new light on this investment form.  The National Association of Realtors and the Securities & Exchange Commission are now working to complete an exemption that will make this possible.



New home sales up slightly

Sales of newly constructed homes are finally showing signs of rebounding.  Sales were up by 2.8 percent in July after a very sluggish month in June, according to a report from the U.S. Commerce Department.

 

“Despite their normal volatility, the current numbers are promising,” said Brian Catalde, president of the National Association of Home Builders.  “Today’s headlines would make you think no one is buying, or can buy, new homes.  That’s far from the case.  Financing is still available, builders are offering plenty of choices in a variety of price ranges and people are still buying the homes of their dreams.  Home builders have been trimming prices and offering non-price sales incentives to bring reluctant home buyers back into the market, and their efforts have brought results, at least for the short term.  However, the tightening of lending standards and problems in the financial sector (which are deepening) will delay housing’s recovery at least until mid- to late-2008.”



Scathing report on title insurance industry

Homebuyers are often shocked at the settlement table when they learn how much they must pay for title insurance.  Pressure is building to bring those costs down.  A new book has been published on the subject, simply titled “The American Title Insurance Industry,” written by university professors Joseph W. Eaton and David J. Eaton.

 

Robert Wright with New York University said, “The authors of this book expose a scam that has fleeced Americans of billions of hard-earned dollars since World War II,” he said.  “They show how the title insurance industry has captured its regulators and imposed exceedingly high costs on homebuyers by means of a cartel-like arrangement.  If that can be broken, price gouging would end and homeowners would enjoy what Canadians and Iowans already enjoy – reasonably priced peace of mind.”

 

Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller said this:  “With this book, the authors cast a bright light on a topic that mostly has lurked in the shadows.”  The book’s authors point out that improvements in recordkeeping in recent years – particularly the advent of computers – have greatly reduced the likelihood of a defective title going unnoticed in a property transaction.  Beyond mere obsolescence, the title insurance industry is guilty of anticompetitive pricing, overcharging and possibly fraud, according to the authors.



Low rate mortgages still available

Many homebuyers – at least those with good credit records – have no problem in obtaining a needed mortgage at very low rates historically.  That may surprise some readers, after hearing all the bad news about problems plaguing mortgage companies and the lack of availability of certain types of loans stemming from the problem-prone subprime mortgages.

 

At this writing, prime mortgage interest rates are creeping up a bit, but are still at very low levels.  Funds are readily available for these loans if applicants have good credit scores and histories.  This, along with home prices that have stabilized or lowered in most markets and sellers who are highly motivated, present a window of opportunity for many of today’s home buyers.

 

“Interest rates on prime conforming fixed-rate mortgages are ticking up a bit in line with 10-year Treasury rate movements,” said Frank Nothaft, chief economist for Freddie Mac, a major government-sponsored buyer of home mortgages.  “Problems in the non-prime mortgage market where funds are expensive and hard-to-get has not affected the prime conforming market.”

 

Mortgages that are difficult to find today at reasonable rates are subprime mortgages (needed by borrowers with poor or marginal credit records), and “jumbo” mortgages (large loans more than $417,000 in most areas of the country).  However, these mortgages can be found.


Best mortgage system worldwide

Despite periodic problems with mortgages, we have the best home financing system in the world.  That is readily apparent when learning about other systems.

 

People of the Muslim faith, for example, are forbidden to pay interest, making it very difficult to finance the purchase of a home.  To comply with Islamic law, adherents must devise methods that are often more costly and risky.  One concept is for a lender to actually take title to the property, then sell it back to the client in increments spread over 15 to 30 years.



Fractional ownerships on rise

Fractional ownership of vacation homes is one of the most rapidly growing segments of the current real estate market.  It accounted for about $1.5 billion in sales during 2005 in the United States alone.  Sales have continued to grow.

 

Having a fractional ownership of a vacation home simply means you are sharing total ownership with other owners.  Typically, there are four to 12 owners of a single property, allowing individual owners or their guests to occupy the residence for a total of one to three months each year.  The key advantage is, of course, financial.  Each owner shares the acquisition and maintenance costs, along with taxes and mortgage payments, with fellow owners.

 

Unlike traditional timeshare units, buyers actually own a portion of their fractional property.  And while timeshare units usually decrease in value over the years, fractional ownerships tend to appreciate like wholly owned homes.  Therefore, they are considered to be more viable investments.  Another advantage of this type of purchase is the “buying power” it provides.  A single buyer can own a portion of a much nicer and better located property via a fractional purchase than they could afford for a totally owned residence.  Also, each owner has an active role in controlling the property.

 

In some cases, a corporation or other business will acquire a fractional ownership of one or several properties, making their use available as awards to particularly productive employees or valued clients.  By using their units in this way, the companies can often write off a portion of their costs as business expenses.



Meaning of a `Short Sale’

Many consumers are confused by the term “short sale” in real estate lingo.  The term usually applies to a home that has a current outstanding mortgage balance that is more than the market value of the property.  When an owner can’t continue to pay the mortgage payments, the property must be sold or foreclosed.  In some cases, the bank or other lender will accept the sale price of the property even though it doesn’t fully cover the mortgage balance due.  The price falls short of what is owed.  That’s a “short sale.”

 

Even though the lender does not receive the full amount due, such an agreement usually nets him more than would be received through an expensive foreclosure procedure.  Such a transaction obviously benefits the home owner.  But there are drawbacks, like tax liability.  The amount forgiven by the lender can be regarded as income by the IRS.  That may result in a significant increase in the amount owed in income taxes.

 

Another option for owners is to renegotiate the terms of the mortgage with their lender.  By so doing, they might be able to make their payments, keep their home, and retain a credible credit record.




Home sales to remain sluggish

Home sales will remain at the current sluggish levels for at least the next few months, it was predicted by economists at the National Association of Realtors.  “I’m not looking for any notable changes in sales activity,” said NAR economist Lawrence Yun.  “Existing home sales should be relatively stable over coming months, holding in a modest range with some pent-up demand growing from buyers who have been on the sidelines.”

 

The current NAR forecast calls for existing home sales of 6.04 million units this year, down 6.8 percent from last year.  The new forecast was about one percent lower, or 70,000 fewer homes, than July’s prediction of 6.11 million units.  If the current prediction materializes, this year’s sales would be the lowest since 2002, when sales hit 5.63 million.  Last year’s sales were 6.48 million.  Next year, NAR expects sales to climb to 6.38 million – up slightly from the forecast in July of 6.37 million. 

 

New home sales are expected to total about 852,000 this year and 848,000 next year.  That’s down from 1.05 million last year.  Housing construction starts, including multi-family units, are likely to total 1.43 million this year, and 1.40 million next year, according to NAR.



No bail-out predicted

No bail-out by the federal government for the nation’s financial markets sparked by the subprime mortgage crisis.  That’s the opinion of most Americans, as tallied by a survey conducted by Housing Predictor.  The online survey showed respondents do not want the government to get involved in the hedge fund debacle that could cause billions of dollars in losses for investors and home owners facing foreclosure proceedings.

 

            About 81 percent of those surveyed said they didn’t want the government to bail out investment houses or get directly involved in the crisis, it was reported.  Only 19 percent said they wanted Congress to bail-out the troubled funds.  The survey was conducted over a period of one month.



Jim Woodard writes a nationally syndicated newspaper column on real estate news and trends, carried in about 230 U.S. newspapers – along with freelance features.  Reproduction of this report, in part or entirety, is prohibited without the express permission of the author. E-mail: storyjim@aol.com.


Licensed by the State of Michigan Department of Consumer and Industry Services
Office of Financial and Insurance Services
MI Lic# FL 2547 and Secondary Registration No. SR0883

                Secure Website

?>