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Mortgage / Real Estate Update
Report
Mortgage
fixed-rates are down
By Jim
Woodard
Interest rates on long-term mortgages with fixed rates
are edging downward as we move into September. At the same time,
adjustable-rate mortgages are increasing their rates. This opens the door of
opportunity a bit wider for today’s homebuyers.
“Interest rates on conforming long-term fixed-rate
mortgages are declining slightly, while rates on one-year
adjustable-rate mortgages are increasing,” said Frank Nothaft,
chief economist for Freddie Mac, a major government-sponsored
buyer of existing home mortgages. “The increase in ARM rates is consistent with movement
of the yield on short-term Treasury securities that have
exhibited higher volatility recently due to market
uncertainties.”
Even though the number of home sales is down, there are
strong advantages for purchasing a home today. Inventories are large, offering the buyer a wide
variety of available homes – sellers are highly motivated to
negotiate a favorable price and terms – and mortgage interest
rates remain at very low levels.
It should be noted that most mortgage borrowers have no
problem in keeping their payments current. Most of the problems
arise from risky subprime loans and borrowers mortgaging homes
that are not their personal residence. Mortgages on non-owner
occupied homes accounts for about 13 percent of all prime
defaults and 11 percent of subprime defaults nationwide,
according to a report from Mortgage Bankers
Association.
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Federal aid
for mortgage borrowers
On August 31, the president announced new initiatives
to help troubled borrowers with high-risk mortgages. A key element is to
allow homeowners with a good credit history, but who cannot
afford their mortgage payments, to refinance into mortgages
insured by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) to keep
from defaulting.
“The markets are in a period of transition as
participants reassess and reprice risk,” the president
said. “This
process has been unfolding for some time and it’s going to
take more time to fully play out. America’s overall
economy will remain strong enough to weather any
turbulence.”
Real estate and mortgage groups are obviously
delighted with the announcement. John Robbins, chairman
of the Mortgage Bankers Association, made this comment after
hearing the president’s announcement: “The president’s attention to turmoil in the mortgage
markets and the plight of homeowners facing foreclosure will
encourage Congress to take the needed steps to reform FHA and
help borrowers who face difficulties making their mortgage
payments.”
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Strategies for obtaining the right
mortgage
What’s
the most effective way to obtain the best possible home
mortgage in today’s tight market? That’s the question
asked by many home buyers, and owners wanting to refinance
their existing mortgage.
When
Borrowers apply for an adjustable-rate mortgage today, lenders
approve or reject them based on the fully indexed interest
rate and higher monthly payment, not a short-term low rate and
low initial monthly payment, it was noted in a special report
carried in the September issue of Kiplinger’s Personal Finance
magazine.
Many
first-time buyers look for 100 percent financing. That often involves
expensive private mortgage insurance (PMI) or “piggyback”
loans – two loans issued simultaneously. The cost of PMI
largely depends on the borrower’s credit score. Many options disappear
when scores are lower than 700, according to the report. With the score is 620
or lower, the buyer would probably not be able to obtain 100
percent financing.
In most
cases, it’s much better to make a down payment when purchasing
a home – at least 5 percent down. Most lenders also want
borrowers to have funds available for at least two months of
principal, interest, taxes and insurance in reserve. Paying off as much
debt as possible before applying for a mortgage is important,
but a higher priority should be placed on improving your
credit score. The
two top considerations by lenders is the borrower’s credit
score and down payment.
However, overall debt is important. The standard
debt-to-income ratio used by lenders is 28-36. Under that guideline,
your monthly mortgage payment can’t exceed 28 percent of your
monthly household income, and your total debt payments may not
exceed 36 percent.
The
average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is typically 1.5
percentage points lower for a borrower with a credit score of
760 to 850 than for someone with a score of 620 to 639,
Kiplinger’s report pointed out. Before you apply for a
mortgage, request your report, correct any errors, and take
action such as paying down debt to improve your score. You’re entitled to one
free credit report a year from each of the three major
credit-reporting agencies. To obtain your free
report, go to: www.annualcreditreport.com/.
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Mortgage
tax deductions at risk
An
ominous plan is being proposed in Congress – to eliminate
mortgage-interest tax deductions for all houses larger than
3,000 square feet.
The proposal, part of a bill drafted by Rep. John
Dingell, chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee,
will introduce a “comprehensive climate change reform
legislation,” it was announced. It includes this
deduction-limiting provision.
“Such a
law is essential to reduce carbon emissions by 60 to 80
percent by the year 2050,” he said. “In order to address
the issue of climate change, we must address the issue of
consumption. We
do that by making consumption more expensive.” He noted that houses
have long been known to contribute to greenhouse gas emissions
through heating, cooling, electrical usage and building
materials.
However, most home builders report they have followed
“green” procedures in recent years. Houses constructed
within the past few years are the tightest, energy-efficient
in history.
Lawrence
Yun, senior economist for the National Association of
Realtors, pointed out that terminating mortgage-interest tax
deductions for all single-family homes larger than 3,000
square feet would result in a national median house price
decline of about 4 percent on all homes, not just large
houses. There are
at least 10.4 million single-family homes that contain 3,000
square feet of living area or more. They make up about 15
percent of the nation’s owner-occupied housing
stock.
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Hispanic
population growing
The
Hispanic population is growing, along with the number of
Hispanic home buyers and mortgage applicants. Nearly one in every
ten of the nation’s counties now have a population that is
more than 50 percent minorities, according to a recent report
from the U.S. Census Bureau. Growing minority
populations are particularly strong in suburban and rural
areas, and is fueled primarily by the growth in the Hispanic
population.
Cities
are still the major target area for minorities. Los Angeles
County
had the country’s largest minority population, where seven
million (or 71 percent of the population) are minorities. However, locales with
the highest percentage of minority population growth are on
the East coast and in the South.
“One
could describe it as the `Hispanization’ of the United States,” said former U.S.
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Henry Cisneros, who
has studied Hispanic demographics and homebuying trends in
depth. This is a
very important population,” he said. “It’s very
entrepreneurial, capable of saving money and is the fastest
growing segment of middle class. That will add to the
capacity to buy homes.
Add to that the subjective element. This is a population
that is very family oriented. Homeownership is their
vision of the American
dream.”
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New
development for TIC investments
There may
soon be a jump in the popularity of Tenant-in-Common (TIC)
investments in real property. TIC investments are
arrangements whereby two or more owners of a property have an
equal or unequal interest. Each owner has full
and simultaneous rights to the same property, regardless of
the amount of interest owned. These investments are
particularly attractive to owners of commercial properties who
want to sell and avoid paying immediate capital gains
tax. They can do
so by executing a 1031 Exchange into a TIC – approved by the
Internal Revenue Service.
The new
development is a proposed arrangement whereby real estate
brokers and their agents can earn fees for referring clients
to TICs. This is
currently not permitted.
If finalized, it could focus new light on this
investment form.
The National Association of Realtors and the Securities
& Exchange Commission are now working to complete an
exemption that will make this
possible.
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New home
sales up slightly
Sales of
newly constructed homes are finally showing signs of
rebounding. Sales
were up by 2.8 percent in July after a very sluggish month in
June, according to a report from the U.S. Commerce
Department.
“Despite
their normal volatility, the current numbers are promising,”
said Brian Catalde, president of the National Association of
Home Builders.
“Today’s headlines would make you think no one is
buying, or can buy, new homes. That’s far from the
case. Financing
is still available, builders are offering plenty of choices in
a variety of price ranges and people are still buying the
homes of their dreams.
Home builders have been trimming prices and offering
non-price sales incentives to bring reluctant home buyers back
into the market, and their efforts have brought results, at
least for the short term. However, the
tightening of lending standards and problems in the financial
sector (which are deepening) will delay housing’s recovery at
least until mid- to
late-2008.”
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Scathing
report on title insurance industry
Homebuyers are often shocked at the
settlement table when they learn how much they must pay for
title insurance.
Pressure is building to bring those costs down. A new book has been
published on the subject, simply titled “The American Title
Insurance Industry,” written by university professors Joseph
W. Eaton and David J. Eaton.
Robert
Wright with New York University said, “The
authors of this book expose a scam that has fleeced Americans
of billions of hard-earned dollars since World War II,” he
said. “They show
how the title insurance industry has captured its regulators
and imposed exceedingly high costs on homebuyers by means of a
cartel-like arrangement.
If that can be broken, price gouging would end and
homeowners would enjoy what Canadians and Iowans already enjoy
– reasonably priced peace of
mind.”
Iowa
Attorney General Tom Miller said this: “With this book, the
authors cast a bright light on a topic that mostly has lurked
in the shadows.”
The book’s authors point out that improvements in
recordkeeping in recent years – particularly the advent of
computers – have greatly reduced the likelihood of a defective
title going unnoticed in a property transaction. Beyond mere obsolescence,
the title insurance industry is guilty of anticompetitive
pricing, overcharging and possibly fraud, according to the
authors.
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Low rate
mortgages still available
Many
homebuyers – at least those with good credit records – have no
problem in obtaining a needed mortgage at very low rates
historically.
That may surprise some readers, after hearing all the
bad news about problems plaguing mortgage companies and the
lack of availability of certain types of loans stemming from
the problem-prone subprime
mortgages.
At this
writing, prime mortgage interest rates are creeping up a bit,
but are still at very low levels. Funds are readily
available for these loans if applicants have good credit
scores and histories.
This, along with home prices that have stabilized or
lowered in most markets and sellers who are highly motivated,
present a window of opportunity for many of today’s home
buyers.
“Interest
rates on prime conforming fixed-rate mortgages are ticking up
a bit in line with 10-year Treasury rate movements,” said
Frank Nothaft, chief economist for Freddie Mac, a major
government-sponsored buyer of home mortgages. “Problems in the
non-prime mortgage market where funds are expensive and
hard-to-get has not affected the prime conforming
market.”
Mortgages
that are difficult to find today at reasonable rates are
subprime mortgages (needed by borrowers with poor or marginal
credit records), and “jumbo” mortgages (large loans more than
$417,000 in most areas of the country). However, these
mortgages can be
found.
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Best
mortgage system worldwide
Despite
periodic problems with mortgages, we have the best home
financing system in the world. That is readily
apparent when learning about other
systems.
People of
the Muslim faith, for example, are forbidden to pay interest,
making it very difficult to finance the purchase of a
home. To comply
with Islamic law, adherents must devise methods that are often
more costly and risky.
One concept is for a lender to actually take title to
the property, then sell it back to the client in increments
spread over 15 to 30
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Fractional
ownerships on rise
Fractional ownership of vacation homes
is one of the most rapidly growing segments of the current
real estate market.
It accounted for about $1.5 billion in sales during
2005 in the United
States
alone. Sales have
continued to grow.
Having a
fractional ownership of a vacation home simply means you are
sharing total ownership with other owners. Typically, there are
four to 12 owners of a single property, allowing individual
owners or their guests to occupy the residence for a total of
one to three months each year. The key advantage is,
of course, financial.
Each owner shares the acquisition and maintenance
costs, along with taxes and mortgage payments, with fellow
owners.
Unlike
traditional timeshare units, buyers actually own a portion of
their fractional property. And while timeshare
units usually decrease in value over the years, fractional
ownerships tend to appreciate like wholly owned homes. Therefore, they are
considered to be more viable investments. Another advantage of
this type of purchase is the “buying power” it provides. A single buyer can own
a portion of a much nicer and better located property via a
fractional purchase than they could afford for a totally owned
residence. Also,
each owner has an active role in controlling the
property.
In some
cases, a corporation or other business will acquire a
fractional ownership of one or several properties, making
their use available as awards to particularly productive
employees or valued clients. By using their units
in this way, the companies can often write off a portion of
their costs as business
expenses. |
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Meaning of
a `Short Sale’
Many
consumers are confused by the term “short sale” in real estate
lingo. The term
usually applies to a home that has a current outstanding
mortgage balance that is more than the market value of the
property. When an
owner can’t continue to pay the mortgage payments, the
property must be sold or foreclosed. In some cases, the
bank or other lender will accept the sale price of the
property even though it doesn’t fully cover the mortgage
balance due. The
price falls short of what is owed. That’s a “short
sale.”
Even
though the lender does not receive the full amount due, such
an agreement usually nets him more than would be received
through an expensive foreclosure procedure. Such a transaction
obviously benefits the home owner. But there are
drawbacks, like tax liability. The amount forgiven by
the lender can be regarded as income by the IRS. That may result in a
significant increase in the amount owed in income
taxes.
Another
option for owners is to renegotiate the terms of the mortgage
with their lender.
By so doing, they might be able to make their payments,
keep their home, and retain a credible credit
record. |
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Home sales to remain sluggish
Home sales will remain at the current
sluggish levels for at least the next few months, it was
predicted by economists at the National Association of
Realtors. “I’m
not looking for any notable changes in sales activity,” said
NAR economist Lawrence Yun. “Existing home sales
should be relatively stable over coming months, holding in a
modest range with some pent-up demand growing from buyers who
have been on the sidelines.”
The current NAR forecast calls for
existing home sales of 6.04 million units this year, down 6.8
percent from last year.
The new forecast was about one percent lower, or 70,000
fewer homes, than July’s prediction of 6.11 million
units. If the
current prediction materializes, this year’s sales would be
the lowest since 2002, when sales hit 5.63 million. Last year’s sales were
6.48 million.
Next year, NAR expects sales to climb to 6.38 million –
up slightly from the forecast in July of 6.37 million.
New home sales are expected to total
about 852,000 this year and 848,000 next year. That’s down from 1.05
million last year.
Housing construction
starts, including multi-family units, are likely to total 1.43
million this year, and 1.40 million next year, according to
NAR.
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No bail-out predicted
No bail-out by the federal government
for the nation’s financial markets sparked by the subprime
mortgage crisis.
That’s the opinion of most Americans, as tallied by a
survey conducted by Housing Predictor. The online survey
showed respondents do not want the government to get involved
in the hedge fund debacle that could cause billions of dollars
in losses for investors and home owners facing foreclosure
proceedings.
About 81 percent of those surveyed said they didn’t
want the government to bail out investment houses or get
directly involved in the crisis, it was reported. Only 19 percent said
they wanted Congress to bail-out the troubled funds. The survey was conducted
over a period of one
month.
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Jim Woodard writes a nationally syndicated newspaper
column on real estate news and trends, carried in about 230
U.S. newspapers – along with freelance features.
Reproduction of this report, in part or entirety, is
prohibited without the express permission of the author.
E-mail: storyjim@aol.com.
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Licensed by the State of Michigan Department of Consumer and Industry Services
Office of Financial and Insurance Services
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