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Mortgage / Real Estate Update Report
Mortgage rates rising
By Jim Woodard
Mortgage rates are rising as we move into March. This will probably motivate more prospective home buyers and other borrowers to lift themselves off their fence-sitting position and take action before rates rise further. The rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage now average 6.24 percent, with 0.5 point (fees), according to Freddie Mac, a major government sponsored buyer of existing mortgages. Last year at this time, the rate was 6.18 percent. The average rate for a 15year fixed mortgage is 5.72 percent.
“Long-term fixed mortgage rates are trending up, bringing rates on 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate mortgage back to their levels of last November,” said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac's chief economist.
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Sales of existing single-family homes increasing
Finally, sales of existing single-family homes are on the rise, modestly. Sales rose by 0.5 percent in January, compared to the previous month. This would translate to an adjusted annual rate of 4.34 million homes in January – up from 4.32 million in December, according to a report from the National Association of Realtors. It's the first up-tick in sales volume in the past year.
“The general conclusion of our economists is that we are scratching the bottom of the market,” said Iverson Moore, a NAR spokesman. “As new home construction continues to slow and existing home inventories are reduced, reflecting the four million new jobs created during the last two year and there is continuing demand for housing, the overhang should be reduced sufficiently so that a robust expansion of home sales should begin – probably in the second half of this year.”
It should be noted that the number of overall home sales in January (including all types of homes) declined slightly – by 0.4 percent, according to the NAR report.
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| New tax credit provision in stimulus pack
A proposed new provision in the planned economic stimulus package would offer a tax credit for home buyers. If enacted, it would help reduce the large amount of new housing inventory currently on the market, according to the National Association of Home Builders.
“It would be particularly helpful to first-time buyers,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors. “More first-time buyers are creating a chain reaction in the market, allowing more current homeowners to trade up into their next home. A tax credit for first-time buyers could give them a boost in confidence, counteracting their worries of home-price drops to come. “People will realize that the worst in housing is coming to an end if they see bold measures,” Yun added.
NAHB pointed out that such a plan worked before. In 1975, when inventories were very high, a $6,000 home-buyer credit brought in a substantial number of buyers – enough for home builders to get back to business. “The biggest bang for the buck most likely would be provided by a temporary home buyer tax credit,” said NAHB's David Seiders. “Tax credits for the purchase of a home are a means of eliminating excess inventory, relieving pressure on falling housing prices and ending the wait-on-the-sideline strategy some potential buyers have adopted.”
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Mortgage caps lifted effective March 1
The maximum mortgage limits (caps) placed on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two giant government-sponsored buyers of existing mortgages have been lifted, effective March 1, it was announced by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO). The caps had been instituted several years ago when the enterprises encountered problems resulting from their “creative accounting standards.”
The action was primarily motivated by pressure from the mortgage industry and some Congressional committees to lift the caps in order to free up more money for mortgages. The caps have limited the ability of the enterprises to purchase packages of residential mortgages that might not otherwise find a market in today's credit situation.
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Enactment of Foreclosure Prevention Act doubtful
The Foreclosure Prevention Act of 2008 (S. 2636) may not be signed into law. The White House indicates it's headed for a veto. The bill would change bankruptcy laws by giving judges the latitude to reduce interest rates and the amount that is owed on mortgages of at-risk homeowners.
“We appreciate the Senators' efforts to try to help stabilize the mortgage market and help those who are at risk of facing foreclosure,” said David Kittle, chairman-elect of the Mortgage Bankers Association. “However, by including language to reform bankruptcy and allow judges to modify mortgage contracts the bill threatens to hurt those it is designed to help. Bankruptcy reform will increase the cost of mortgage credit for all borrowers at a time when we ought to be making it easier, not harder, to get credit.”
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More help for veterans
The VA Home Loan Guarantee Program, designed to provide favorable loan terms for veterans who are unable to qualify for a conventional loan, may soon be revised to offer more veteran benefits. Congress is considering the changes.
“The VA program offers unique and important benefits for helping our military families achieve their dream of home ownership,” said a spokesman for the National Association of Realtors. “It is our duty as a country to make sure our retired and active duty veterans and their families are given every opportunity to own and keep their home if they have the basic means and desire.”
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Green covering industry
A swath of green is covering the real estate industry. An increasing number of Realtors are taking special courses to learn about geo-thermal heat pumps and success-proven techniques home buyers can use to qualify for grants and tax credits for energy-saving improvements. They then market themselves as eco-friendly “green” Realtors.
New housing developers are also hopping on the green wagon, realizing this will give them a positive marketing boost. An example is The Cherokee Lofts, a new mixed-use project in Los Angeles . “The Lofts is a unique green project that carries forth the current environmental effort to benefit the community and the planet,” a spokesperson for the development said. “It solidifies the existing symbiosis between `green' and `interior design' by offering green-minded consumers a greener urban living alternative while preserving a refined design and sense of style.”
Realtors who are taking up the green mantle are listing and selling eco-friendly, energy-efficient properties, featuring them on their Websites and blogs. They also consult with owners of newly listing homes on ways to make their property greener, thus more appealing to prospective buyers. Realtors say their knowledge of environmentally friendly designs and materials can help clients in the marketing process. Buyers are attracted to homes built with eco-friendly features such as solar power and energy-efficient appliances. If the property is old and lacks such features, green Realtors can walk buyers through possible retro-fits that will lower their energy bills or improve indoor air quality.
The number of educational courses, leading to green certifications, is growing. A major course currently is EcoBroker International, based in Evergreen, Colorado . It has certified about 2,600 agents over the past year, it was reported.
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Raised FHA mortgage limits coming
Legislation needed to increase FHA mortgage loan limits is moving forward. The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) plans to publish the new FHA loan limits in a special Mortgage Letter, to be issued during the first week of March, it was learned from a HUD teleconference. Also, HUD will be recalculating the median home prices that are used to calculate the loan limits.
The new limits will be based on 125 percent of the median home price in counties across the country, and will be capped at $729,750. The new rules are part of the Economic Stimulus Package signed by the president on February 13. They will expire after one year. HUD officials say that more comprehensive FHA reform should be moving through Congress in coming weeks.
“Raising the loan limits will have an immediate and powerful impact on families across America , particularly in high-cost areas,” said George Hanzimanolis, president of the National Association of Mortgage Brokers. |
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Number of senior homebuyers growing
The number of households headed by persons over age 55 is growing, and will continue to grow. They now make up 20.9 percent of all new home buyers and 24.3 percent of new custom home buyers, according to a study by the National Association of Home Builders.
The good news for home builders is that many of these buyers have accumulated wealth over the years and can pay for new homes by selling their existing homes, the study report noted. However, the vast majority of people age 55 and above tend to be content with their current homes, so the challenge for builders is to develop products that will be attractive enough to lure them away from their established home and into a new one. |
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Condo sales on rise
Sales of condominiums and townhome's are picking up. These units are just too popular with a large segment of buyers to be held down long by a general sales slump. “We are definitely emerging from a difficult time and seeing some light in the condo market,” said Bill Donges, CEO of Lane Company, a major condominium development firm. “The condo lifestyle, especially in urban areas, is very attractive and with mortgage interest rates low and selection good, we are seeing buyers come back into the market.”
The steady and growing sale of condo units in certain markets is also helping the rental apartment market, it was noted by Steve Patterson, an officer with the National Association of Home Builders. “We've had fairly strong rental demand for quite some time, but the unsold condos and single-family homes coming back into the market as rentals were hampering the rental apartment sector. With many of those units now selling, the so-called `shadow market' is starting to dissipate and the multifamily market overall is getting healthier,” Patterson said.
At the height of the housing boom, condo construction starts accounted for an unprecedented 45 percent of all multifamily starts annually. When the market rebounds, NAHB expects that percentage to hover between 20 to 30 percent of all annual multifamily starts. “The real difference we're seeing now is that all our buyers want to live in the condos,” said developer Donges. “The speculators are gone, which is a good thing. We're optimistic that, except for the most overbuilt markets, the worst is behind us.” |
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Consumers feel positive about their home
People are feeling very positive about their homes these days, despite a generally sluggish housing market. A recent survey conducted by Harris Interactive revealed an interesting insight into consumer sentiments. It indicated that about 77 percent of homeowners believe the value of their home has increased or remained the same during the past year. Also, many homeowners say they are planning to do things this year that you might not expect during a housing and credit slump.
For example, 82 percent will spend the same or more on minor home improvements, such as installing a new garbage disposal, repair or wall paper a room. And 67 percent say they will spend the same or more on major home improvements this year. Those projects might include replacing the roof or remodeling a kitchen. About a third of respondents to the survey say they plan to take out a home equity loan this year, or refinance their mortgage, or take out a second mortgage, or sell their home. |
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`Mortgage Help Now' launched
A new company, named Mortgage Help Now, has been formed to provide assistance to homeowners facing foreclosure due to problems in the mortgage industry. The company, affiliated with The Liput Group, is comprised of mortgage industry executives and lawyers. Many of the participants are professional mortgage consultants who were formerly mortgage industry executives and lawyers who normally provide advice to lenders and Wall Street on banking/lending issues, such as loss mitigation, investor relations and regulatory matters.
“Our staff has decided to take our expertise, and our relationships with mortgage banks, and use them to help consumers faced with foreclosure,” said Andrew Liput, the group's president. “Rather than pay lawyers high hourly fees to learn about the mortgage business and try to stop a foreclosure, we feel using mortgage insiders will be less expensive and get faster, better results for homeowners.
“Lawyers are not trained in the highly specialized mortgage industry, so they charge a lot of money to review documents to get up to speed. We know the industry, the market, the lenders and the methods to fight foreclosure. Whenever possible, we save a consumer's home. When that is not possible, we know the language and techniques to minimize the financial consequences,” Liput said. |
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Inspectors implement new tactics
Home inspectors are rolling out new programs to help them survive the slow market. Some are now offering energy audits, maintenance inspections, phased-in inspections and other related services. And, of course, they are urging homeowners to hire an inspector before placing their property on the market.
“Maintenance should be at the top of every seller's list this year,” said Brion Grant, president of the American Society of Home Inspectors. “In this market, homebuyers have more properties to choose from and will look closely at how well a home has been kept up.” |
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Agenda set by NAMB
An activity agenda for the year has been announced by the National Association of Mortgage Brokers. It's a plan that strongly targets abusive lending practices, addresses the need for mortgage reform and continues their commitment to financial literacy for consumers.
The group's key policy positions for the year include (1) a call for an independent, government sponsored study or investigation of consumer disclosures that may be contributing to or enabling deceptive sales and marketing practices in the mortgage industry. Also (2), it will promote efforts that ensure direct or indirect compensation received by any originator, regardless of distribution channel, to be treated equally and in similar fashion to avoid competitive inequities and consumer confusion. And (3) NAMB will support the establishment of a nationwide registry that mandates the inclusion of all loan originators. It would provide tracking control and strengthen the industry and consumer protection. It supports the establishment of professional standards for all mortgage originators that will mandate minimum pre-employment and continuing education, testing and complete criminal background checks. |
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Jim Woodard writes a nationally syndicated newspaper
column on real estate news and trends, carried in about 230
U.S. newspapers – along with freelance features.
Reproduction of this report, in part or entirety, is
prohibited without the express permission of the author.
E-mail: storyjim@aol.com.
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Licensed by the State of Michigan Department of Consumer and Industry Services
Office of Financial and Insurance Services
MI Lic# FL 2547 and Secondary Registration No. SR0883
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